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Best Options Strategy for COP

By Dennis Bosmans · Updated 2026-09-04 · 2 min read · Risk disclaimer

Looking for the best options strategy for ConocoPhillips (COP)? There is no single answer — the right play depends on your outlook, your risk tolerance and current implied volatility. Below, our free engine shows the highest-scoring defined-risk strategy on the live COP option chain right now, and a simple map from your view on COP to the strategy that fits it. Model any of them in the calculator before you trade.

About COP

ConocoPhillips (COP) is a major company in oil and gas exploration. Options traders on COP tend to watch oil prices, production and buybacks, since these can drive large moves in the share price.

COP for options traders

ConocoPhillips is a large pure-play exploration-and-production company, which means its share price is more directly tied to crude oil and natural gas prices than an integrated major that can partially offset upstream weakness with refining or chemical margins. That upstream concentration keeps implied volatility in a moderate range — generally a notch above integrated energy peers but without the extreme IV spikes of smaller, more leveraged E&P names. Options liquidity is solid, with respectable open interest across front-month and near-term quarterly expirations and workable bid-ask spreads.

The biggest single-session moves in COP are typically triggered by OPEC production decisions, crude oil inventory reports, geopolitical disruptions in key producing regions, and quarterly earnings that reveal how well realized prices, production volumes, and capital discipline have tracked guidance. Because the company has a large and diversified global asset base, its IV tends to be somewhat steadier than single-basin operators, though a sharp commodity repricing still moves the whole E&P complex. Income-oriented holders often write covered calls to generate yield on a position they intend to keep. Traders with a directional view on crude commonly use bull call spreads or bear put spreads to define their risk; when a catalyst is clear but the direction is not, straddles and strangles on earnings can efficiently capture the resulting move.

Today's top-scoring strategy for COP

Our engine ranks defined-risk strategies on the live COP chain by probability of profit and risk/reward, then surfaces the best-scoring one. It is an educational illustration, not advice.

Bull Put Credit Spread bullish
Price: $135.05Implied volatility: 32%Expiration: 2026-10-02 (27d)
ActionQtyTypeStrikePremium
BuyPUT$115$0.19
SellPUT$125$1.21
P/L at expiry vs today At expiry Today ±1σ
$99$125$151
Max Profit
$102
Max Loss
−$898
Net Credit (received)
$102
Breakeven(s)
$123.98
Position Greeks
Δ
14.68
Γ
−1.621
Θ
4.15
ν
−7.06
Time decay (price held)
Implied-volatility skew

Simulation

Forward simulation of 6,000 lognormal price paths to expiration — not a historical backtest.

Win rate
83%
Mean P/L
$4
Median
$102
Exp. move (1σ)
9%
5th pct
−$700
25th pct
$102
75th pct
$102
95th pct
$102

Strategy analysis

Simulated price paths (time × price)
now $135BE $124$117$136$1550d14d27d
$-886$-398$90

Greeks vs price

Δ — $ P/L per $1 move in the underlying (share-equivalent exposure).
Θ — $ P/L per day from time decay.
ν — $ P/L per +1% in implied volatility.
Γ — how fast delta changes per $1 move.

Price × volatility (today)

−30%−15%IV+15%+30%
$169$102$102$102$101$100
$162$102$102$101$100$96
$155$102$101$100$95$87
$149$101$99$92$80$65
$142$96$84$66$44$19
$135$64$33−$1−$35−$66
$128−$59−$103−$141−$172−$199
$122−$331−$346−$357−$367−$375
$115−$655−$623−$599−$581−$566
$108−$845−$813−$782−$754−$729
$101−$893−$884−$870−$852−$833
Analyze COP in the calculator → Share this pick ↗

Illustrative example at COP's latest available price, computed with the same engine as the tool. Live option fills and the real IV skew refresh during US market hours.

Implied volatility

COP is currently trading with moderate implied volatility, broadly in line with other large-cap stocks. On the options we scanned that was around 32% implied volatility, and higher implied volatility means richer premiums and wider expected moves.

Options on COP currently price in about 32% implied volatility, versus roughly 30% the stock has actually realised over the past month. The two are roughly in line, so neither buying nor selling premium has a clear volatility edge here.

COP's IV Rank is 35/100: implied volatility sits 35% of the way between its 16-day low (28%) and high (39%), and is above 53% of recorded days. Premium sits around its usual level for this stock.

Off that volatility, the options market is pricing a move of about ±$11.81 (±9%) in COP by 2026-10-02 — a range of roughly $123 to $147. Strikes inside that band hold most of the premium and see most of the action.

Across strikes, downside puts on COP trade at a higher implied volatility than upside calls — the market is paying up for crash protection. That skew favours selling put spreads or buying calls over symmetric trades.

COP insider trading activity (SEC Form 4)

Open-market insider transactions at COP over roughly the last six months, from SEC Form 4 filings. Open-market buys are the rarer, more telling signal — routine selling under pre-arranged plans is common, so read a net-selling figure with that in mind.

Open-market buys
0 · —
Open-market sells
12 · $92.8M
Net (buy − sell)
−$92.8M
InsiderActionSharesValueDate
LUNDQUIST ANDREW DSell9,487$1.3M2026-08-21
Mulligan SharmilaSell1,974$235K2026-06-10
Lance Ryan MichaelSell113,221$15.0M2026-03-31
Rose Kelly BrunettiSell7,700$1.0M2026-03-24
Olds Nicholas GSell6,994$889K2026-03-23
Lance Ryan MichaelSell506,800$64.5M2026-03-20

Source: SEC Form 4 filings via Finnhub. Open-market purchases (P) and sales (S) only — grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholding are excluded. Informational context, not investment advice.

Earnings & IV crush

COP's next earnings report is due around November 5, 2026. Options that expire after it price in a binary move, so their implied volatility is elevated and usually collapses right after the announcement — an "IV crush". If your expiration falls before this date, the trade sidesteps the event.

Dividend and assignment risk

COP pays a dividend of about 2.5% a year, so short or covered calls on it carry early-assignment risk around each ex-dividend date — in-the-money calls are most exposed just before the stock goes ex-dividend.

Key figures

Market cap
$163.6B
Beta (vs market)
0.12
52-week range
$85.57–$136.30 (98% up the range)
Short interest
1.4% of float · 2.6 days to cover

How to choose an options strategy for COP

Start with your outlook on COP, then match it to a defined-risk structure. Here are the most common choices and when each makes sense:

Bullish

You expect COP to rise

Buy a call for leverage with capped risk, or a bull call spread to lower the cost and breakeven when you have a target price.

Long Call → Bull Call Spread →

Bearish

You expect COP to fall

Buy a put to profit from a decline with defined risk, or a bear put spread to cheapen the trade when you expect a measured move down.

Long Put → Bear Put Spread →

Neutral

You expect COP to trade in a range

Sell an iron condor to collect premium while COP stays between two strikes, or write a covered call against shares you already own.

Iron Condor → Covered Call →

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How we pick the best strategy

For each ticker we pull the live option chain, build every supported strategy around the at-the-money strikes, and score them on probability of profit, risk/reward and capital efficiency — favouring defined-risk structures where the maximum loss is known up front. Methodology →

Open COP in the free calculator →

Frequently asked questions

What is the best options strategy for COP?

It depends on your outlook. Bullish traders often use a long call or bull call spread on COP; bearish traders a long put or bear put spread; neutral traders an iron condor or covered call. Our live scan above shows the current highest-scoring defined-risk play.

Are COP options liquid enough to trade?

ConocoPhillips (COP) is among the most actively-traded US options, which usually means tight bid/ask spreads and plenty of strikes and expirations — though you should always check the open interest and spread on the exact contract.

How much money do I need to trade COP options?

Buying a single COP call or put can cost as little as the premium (often one to a few hundred dollars), while income strategies like a cash-secured put need enough capital to buy 100 shares if assigned.

Is this financial advice?

No. Everything here is educational and uses delayed, third-party data. It is not a recommendation to trade COP or any security. Do your own research.

What does ConocoPhillips do?

ConocoPhillips (COP) operates in the Oil & Gas E&P industry. The "About ConocoPhillips" section above gives a fuller picture of what the company does and how it earns money.

Does ConocoPhillips pay a dividend?

Yes — ConocoPhillips currently pays a dividend yielding about 2.5%. If you hold the shares (for example to write a covered call), the ex-dividend date can trigger early assignment, so check it beforehand.

When does ConocoPhillips next report earnings?

ConocoPhillips's next earnings are expected around November 5, 2026. Implied volatility usually climbs into the report and drops sharply afterwards (IV crush) — important for any options position held over the date.

Price trend

Short term · 1M
▲ +15%
Mid term · 3M
▲ +14.6%
Long term · 1Y
▲ +44.4%

Tickers related to COP

Comparing COP with similar names can help you choose the best options strategy:

XOMExxon MobilCVXChevronOXYOccidental Petroleum

Company information

Headquarters
925 North Eldridge Parkway, Houston, TX, 77079-2703, United States
Industry
Oil & Gas E&P
Employees
9,600
Phone
281 293 1000
Website
www.conocophillips.com
Investor relations
www.conocophillips.com/investor-relations/Pages/default.aspx

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